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Signal family: realized flow

Rules on what sellers locked in: profit-taking waves, loss-taking waves, and a capitulation that has passed.

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on DEGEN · Base

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What's firing, live on the market snapshot.

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What it is

The realized-flow family reads sellers' realized PnL against the token's own usual day: a wave of profit-taking or loss-taking in the last week, or a capitulation spike that has come and gone.

The family has 3 rules.

However many fire, its pull on either side of the balance is capped, so rules that read the same observation can't stack into a verdict on their own.

What goes into it

  1. 1

    What the family reads: what sellers locked in, day by day. Its rules run on settled days only; each either fires, stays quiet (checked, nothing stood out) or says why it can't run.

  2. 2

    Realized profit and loss per settled day; the rules need enough stored days and compare the recent days with the token's usual day.

  3. 3

    Each fired rule adds to its side of the balance, more when it fired strongly; the family's total on each side is capped, however many of its rules fire.

How to read it

High
Bull rules in the family fired: evidence on the buying side, capped however many fire.
Low
Bear rules in the family fired: evidence on the selling side, capped the same way.
Rising
A rule turning on: the readout and the feed show it as a new signal, with the day its event began where the rule has one.
Falling
A rule turning off: the 7-day snippets list it under signals no longer firing.

Evidence in the data, never advice

Common pitfalls

  • Realized figures are an approximation, sound for trends, not accounting.
  • Rules in one family read the same observation, so several firing together are one fact said several ways; that is why the family is capped.
  • Hand-set rules, not tested against what happened next.

The rules

What each rule in the family means

  • Capitulation flushedBull

    A wave of loss-taking has come and gone: the sellers who wanted out at a loss have mostly left.

    Reads: Realized PnL.

  • Loss-taking waveBear

    Holders are selling at a loss in size right now: capitulation under way rather than behind.

    Reads: Realized PnL.

  • Profit-takingBear

    Holders are cashing in gains in size: supply is moving from early holders to new buyers.

    Reads: Realized PnL.

See it on…

Where it stands out in the latest snapshot. Tokens under a $1M market cap are left out

Cards that show it

Drawn on DEGEN; open one on its page

Every figure on this page comes from Blocktronics' stored, public reads. It describes what the data shows; it is not advice.

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