Signal family: profitability

The profitability family reads supply in profit. Almost nothing in profit, on a token that still trades, is bull evidence (few holders have gains left to take); almost everything in profit is bear evidence (nearly all do). The share crossing half after a stretch on the other side is the majority regained or lost.

The family has 4 rules.

However many fire, its pull on either side of the balance is capped, so rules that read the same observation can't stack into a verdict on their own.

1. 1

   What the family reads: share of supply held above its cost. Its rules run on settled days only; each either fires, stays quiet (checked, nothing stood out) or says why it can't run.

2. 2

   The share in profit per settled day from the supply fields; the rules need enough days with a value.

   share = tokens in profit ÷ (tokens in profit + tokens at a loss) × 100
3. 3

   Each fired rule adds to its side of the balance, more when it fired strongly; the family's total on each side is capped, however many of its rules fire.

HighShape, not data

Bull rules in the family fired: evidence on the buying side, capped however many fire.

LowShape, not data

Bear rules in the family fired: evidence on the selling side, capped the same way.

RisingShape, not data

A rule turning on: the readout and the feed show it as a new signal, with the day its event began where the rule has one.

FallingShape, not data

A rule turning off: the 7-day snippets list it under signals no longer firing.

Evidence in the data, never advice

• Supply in profit is a share of tokens, not of wallets.
• Rules in one family read the same observation, so several firing together are one fact said several ways; that is why the family is capped.
• Hand-set rules, not tested against what happened next.

• Seller exhaustion zoneBull

  With almost no supply in profit, few holders have gains left to sell. The rule reads it as selling pressure near exhaustion.

  Reads: Profitability + Volume.

• Profit saturationBear

  When nearly all supply sits on a gain, holders have every incentive to take it.

  Reads: Profitability.

• Most supply back in profitBull

  The majority of supply moved from a loss to a gain.

  Reads: Profitability.

• Most supply now at a lossBear

  The majority of supply moved from a gain to a loss.

  Reads: Profitability.