Signal family: flow and venue

The flow family reads DEX netflow, swap counts and today's hours: runs of days net one way, a month of steady net buying or selling, many small buying days outweighed by a few large selling ones (and the reverse), buying or selling swaps dominating the recent days, and unusually busy or quiet hours today.

The family has 11 rules.

However many fire, its pull on either side of the balance is capped, so rules that read the same observation can't stack into a verdict on their own.

1. 1

   What the family reads: dex netflow, swap counts and today's hours. Its rules run on settled days only; each either fires, stays quiet (checked, nothing stood out) or says why it can't run.

2. 2

   Settled daily net flows over the last 30 days; the rules stay quiet on thinly traded tokens. The intraday rules read today's hours against the token's typical hour.

3. 3

   Each fired rule adds to its side of the balance, more when it fired strongly; the family's total on each side is capped, however many of its rules fire.

HighShape, not data

Bull rules in the family fired: evidence on the buying side, capped however many fire.

LowShape, not data

Bear rules in the family fired: evidence on the selling side, capped the same way.

RisingShape, not data

A rule turning on: the readout and the feed show it as a new signal, with the day its event began where the rule has one.

FallingShape, not data

A rule turning off: the 7-day snippets list it under signals no longer firing.

Evidence in the data, never advice

• The intraday rules read a partial day: the weakest evidence in the set.
• Rules in one family read the same observation, so several firing together are one fact said several ways; that is why the family is capped.
• Hand-set rules, not tested against what happened next.

• Net buying streakBull

  Buyers have outweighed sellers through the pools day after day.

  Reads: DEX netflow + Volume.

• Net selling streakBear

  Sellers have outweighed buyers through the pools day after day.

  Reads: DEX netflow + Volume.

• Steady net buyingBull

  Buying has been broad, not one big day: most days and the month as a whole netted inflow.

  Reads: DEX netflow + Volume.

• Steady net sellingBear

  Selling has been broad, not one big day: most days and the month as a whole netted outflow.

  Reads: DEX netflow + Volume.

• Selling into strengthBear

  Most days look like buying, but fewer, larger sells outweigh them: size is using the strength to exit.

  Reads: DEX netflow + Volume.

• Large buyers absorbingBull

  Most days look like selling, but fewer, larger buys outweigh them: size is absorbing the supply.

  Reads: DEX netflow + Volume.

• Buy swaps outnumber sellsBull

  More separate trades are buys than sells: demand is broad across traders.

  Reads: Volume.

• Sell swaps outnumber buysBear

  More separate trades are sells than buys: supply is coming from many hands.

  Reads: Volume.

• Buying burst todayBull

  Today is unusually busy and the activity is one-sided buying. Intraday and partial: the weakest kind of evidence here.

  Reads: Today + Volume.

• Selling burst todayBear

  Today is unusually busy and the activity is one-sided selling. Intraday and partial: the weakest kind of evidence here.

  Reads: Today + Volume.

• Quiet dayContext

  Today is trading well below its usual pace. Context, not a vote.

  Reads: Today + Volume.